◈ Aftershock Intelligence

Insights

Deep analysis on sanctions, supply chain disruption, and geopolitical cascade effects — written for operators, not analysts.

Shipping Red Sea Supply Chain New April 21, 2026 9 min read
Red Sea Shipping Crisis: How Houthi Attacks Cascade Through Global Supply Chains

Houthi missile attacks forced the world's largest carriers to reroute around Cape of Good Hope. 30% of global container trade took the long way around — and the cascade that followed touched every sector that moves goods.

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Oil & Energy Middle East Chokepoint Risk April 25, 2026 10 min read
Strait of Hormuz: How Oil Chokepoint Disruptions Cascade Through Global Energy Markets

21% of global oil transits the Strait of Hormuz. When Iran effectively closed it, Brent crude surged to $94+/bbl, Panama Canal slots hit $4M, and consumer prices in emerging markets started climbing. Here's the full cascade.

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Supply Chain Sanctions March 31, 2026 8 min read
How Sanctions Cascade Through Supply Chains: A Framework

Sanctions don't stop at borders. They move through supply chains in predictable patterns — potash to fertilizer to food prices. Five layers, one sanction, and the companies at D4 never even knew what potash was.

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The Hidden Price of Geopolitical Intelligence: Why Most Firms Are Buying the Wrong Thing
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The South China Sea: How Territorial Disputes Cascade Through Semiconductor Supply Chains

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