AI agents that monitor conflicts, sanctions, commodities, and shipping lanes, then trace every downstream effect to the businesses and markets that actually feel it. From the Strait of Hormuz to a freight quote in Belgrade.
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EU Council adopted a new sanctions package targeting Belaruskali, the world's second-largest potash exporter (~18% of global supply). Package prohibits EU entities from importing or transporting Belarusian MOP effective immediately. Latvia, Lithuania, and Estonia ports have suspended potash loading operations at Baltic terminals.
MOP futures surged $42/tonne at the Vancouver Canpotex terminal within 18 hours of the sanctions announcement. Belarus represented ~18% of global potash supply. Scotiabank raised price targets for Nutrien (NTR) and Mosaic (MOS) by 25–40%. Global potash spot price now at $310/t vs. $268/t pre-sanctions.
Brazil's fertilizer industry association ANDA flagged Q2 supply disruption risk. Brazil sources ~27% of potash needs from Belarus. Canpotex (Nutrien/Mosaic JV) is fielding emergency orders from 14 Brazilian distributors. Lead times for Canadian MOP extended from 6 weeks to 11 weeks. Spot availability in Santos port critically low.
Panamax and Capesize spot rates on Vancouver–Santos bulk route surged 23% as fertilizer importers competed for limited vessel capacity. Baltic Dry Index (BDI) rose 8 points. Four confirmed Canpotex vessel fixtures at $31.50/t freight vs. $25.60/t three weeks prior. Available Panamax tonnage near Vancouver cut in half.
Argentine Grain Exchange projects 15% input cost increase for Q3 2026 soybean planting across 3.2M hectares of Pampas region. ~32,000 farms affected. Export revenue impact estimated at $480M if yields decline 4–6% from sub-optimal fertilization. Government-subsidized fertilizer reserve covers only 11% of shortfall.
Most platforms cover one domain well. Aftershock synthesizes all five because cascades don't respect category boundaries.
Real-time monitoring of armed conflicts, sanctions designations, export controls, and diplomatic ruptures. Scored for severity and downstream potential.
Track supply disruptions, price dislocations, and substitution patterns across energy, agriculture, and industrial commodities.
Monitor political instability, regulatory changes, capital controls, and leadership transitions in 40+ emerging markets.
Strait closures, piracy corridors, insurance premium spikes, port congestion. The physical layer of global trade.
Emerging market currency stress, central bank interventions, sovereign spread movements, and local credit conditions.
Western intelligence products focus on G7 economies. Aftershock covers the markets where cascading effects hit hardest and information asymmetry is greatest.
Serbia, Bosnia, Kosovo, North Macedonia, Albania. EU accession dynamics, Russian influence, energy dependency.
UAE, Saudi Arabia, Qatar, Bahrain, Oman. Energy policy, sovereign wealth, Iran tensions, logistics hubs.
Georgia, Armenia, Azerbaijan. Pipeline politics, frozen conflicts, Turkish and Russian spheres of influence.
Argentina, Brazil, Colombia, Venezuela, Chile. Commodity dependence, political volatility, currency stress, trade realignment.
No analyst bottleneck. No 48-hour lag. AI agents ingest, classify, score, and synthesize around the clock.
AI agents monitor thousands of open-source signals across multiple languages and regions. Government gazettes, shipping data, commodity exchanges, news wires, regulatory filings.
Every signal is classified by domain, scored for urgency, and mapped to potential cascade paths. The system learns which signals precede which downstream effects.
Daily digests, flash alerts, and bespoke memos are generated and routed to subscribers based on their region, sector, and tier. Intelligence that arrives before the impact does.
Every geopolitical disruption creates a chain reaction. Aftershock maps the entire chain, from the first tremor to the last business that feels it, across the regions where information asymmetry is the greatest competitive advantage.
The firms that act on geopolitical signals — not the ones that read about them three days later.
A commodities desk trading Brent and Dubai crude uses Aftershock to catch early-signal maritime repositioning near the Gulf. When insurance premiums start ticking up, they're already hedged — not reacting.
A European freight firm routing cargo through the Black Sea and Balkans monitors Aftershock for sanctions packages and port-access changes. Cascade chains on Russian-affiliated vessels give them 48–72 hours to reroute before surcharges hit clients.
A boutique advisory firm serving sovereign wealth and family offices uses the Custom Feed to build weekly EM risk memos. Aftershock's cascade model gives them structured reasoning chains, not just headlines, to defend recommendations.
Three tiers built for the full range of geopolitical exposure — from regional traders to enterprise risk desks. No lock-in. Cancel anytime.